{"id":7881558,"date":"2025-12-01T12:53:58","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T20:53:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/?page_id=7881558"},"modified":"2026-03-20T13:24:30","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T20:24:30","slug":"awards-tracker","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/awards-tracker\/","title":{"rendered":"Awards Tracker"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-group has-global-padding is-layout-constrained wp-container-core-group-is-layout-d8a0d65f wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<div style=\"height:3px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"252\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/black-1.png?resize=1024%2C252&#038;quality=80&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7935861\" style=\"width:768px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/black-1.png?resize=1024%2C252&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/black-1.png?resize=300%2C74&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/black-1.png?resize=768%2C189&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/black-1.png?resize=1536%2C377&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/black-1.png?resize=990%2C243&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 990w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/black-1.png?resize=1200%2C295&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/black-1.png?w=1893&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 1893w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:22px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>TheWrap\u2019s Awards Tracker uses a proprietary algorithm built on<strong> 25 years of awards history<\/strong> to <strong>forecast<\/strong> <strong>Academy Awards<\/strong> <strong>outcomes<\/strong> across eight major categories. Updated in real time after Oscar nominations on Jan. 22, it maps how early nominations and wins at shows like the Golden Globes, DGA, and BAFTA impact their chances of Academy Award glory. <em><a href=\"#jump-here\">Learn more about the methodology here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group awards-tracker-nav is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-group-is-layout-ad2f72ca wp-block-group-is-layout-flex\">\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-nowrap is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-ad2f72ca wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"#best-picture\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">Best Picture<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--2\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"#best-director\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">Best Director<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--3\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"#best-actor\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">Best Actor<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--4\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"#best-actress\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">Best Actress<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--5\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"#best-supporting-actor\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">Best Supporting ACTOR<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--6\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"#best-supporting-actress\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">Best Supporting ACTRESS<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--7\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"#best-original-screenplay\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">Best Original  Screenplay<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--8\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"#best-adapted-screenplay\" style=\"border-radius:100px\">Best Adapted  Screenplay<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"awards-tracker wp-block-the-wrap-awards-tracker\" id=\"best-picture\">\n\t<h2 class=\"awards-tracker__heading\">\n\t\tBest Picture\t<\/h2>\n\t<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"awards-tracker__legend\">\n\t\t<span>Contender<\/span>\n\t\t<span>Probability<\/span>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<ol class=\"awards-tracker__list\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-One-Battle-After-Another.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">One Battle After Another<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 99%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t99%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9-0\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9-0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, PGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> BAFTA, PGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>&#8220;One Battle After Another&#8221; marks the third consecutive Best Picture nominee for director Paul Thomas Anderson following &#8220;Licorice Pizza&#8221; and &#8220;Phantom Thread.&#8221;<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Sinners.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Sinners<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 7.69%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t7.69%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--pos\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Up:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t6.69% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"6.92\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-up\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9-1\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9-1\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, PGA, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>This century, when a nomination leader also won Best Ensemble at the Actor Awards, it also won Best Picture 89% of the time. The only holdout was &#8220;American Hustle.&#8221; However, only two movies have won Best Picture after only winning SAG ensemble: &#8220;Crash&#8221; and &#8220;Parasite,&#8221; neither of which was a nomination leader. &#8220;Sinners&#8221; has momentum, but a Best Picture win would be a massive upset.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Hamnet.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Hamnet<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 3.8%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t3.8%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-29.53% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9-2\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9-2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, PGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> GG<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>&#8220;Hamnet&#8217;s&#8221; wins and losses this season resemble three other films this century, including &#8220;Moonlight,&#8221; which won Best Picture.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Frankenstein-1.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Frankenstein<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 3.8%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t3.8%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-10.49% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9-3\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, PGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Five other films this century have gotten the same Best Picture nominations and wins as &#8220;Frankenstein.&#8221; One (&#8220;Million Dollar Baby&#8221;) won Best Picture.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Sentimental-Value.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Sentimental Value<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9-4\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9-4\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, PGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> SAG<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Joachim Trier&#8217;s &#8220;The Worst Person in the World&#8221; picked up nominations for Best International Feature and Best Original Screenplay, but it was not recognized in Best Picture or any acting categories.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item awards-tracker__item--hidden\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Train-Dreams.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Train Dreams<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9-5\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9-5\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, BAFTA, PGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Joel Edgerton last starred in a Best Picture nominee in 2012 (&#8220;Zero Dark Thirty&#8221;)<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item awards-tracker__item--hidden\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-The-Secret-Agent.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">The Secret Agent<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9-6\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9-6\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, GG<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Last year, &#8220;I&#8217;m Still Here&#8221; became the first Brazilian film and the first Portuguese-speaking film nominated for Best Picture. &#8220;The Secret Agent&#8221; is now the second.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item awards-tracker__item--hidden\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Marty-Supreme.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Marty Supreme<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9-7\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9-7\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, PGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Only four films this century have won Best Actor and Best Picture: &#8220;Gladiator,&#8221; &#8220;The King&#8217;s Speech,&#8221; &#8220;The Artist&#8221; and &#8220;Oppenheimer.&#8221;<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item awards-tracker__item--hidden\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/F1-The-Movie-2.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">F1<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9-8\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9-8\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, PGA<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Read TheWrap&#8217;s coverage with the team behind &#8220;F1&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/f1-movie-making-of-joseph-kosinski-below-the-line-interview\/\">here<\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item awards-tracker__item--hidden\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Bugonia.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Bugonia<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9-9\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-9-9\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, PGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>&#8220;Bugonia&#8221; marks Yorgos Lanthimos and Emma Stone&#8217;s third collaboration (following &#8220;The Favourite&#8221; and &#8220;Poor Things&#8221;)  to get a Best Picture nomination.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t<\/ol>\n\n\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__see-all\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-9\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-list-toggle\">\n\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">See All +<\/span>\n\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">See Less &#8211;<\/span>\n\t<\/button>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"awards-tracker wp-block-the-wrap-awards-tracker\" id=\"best-director\">\n\t<h2 class=\"awards-tracker__heading\">\n\t\tBest Director\t<\/h2>\n\t<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"awards-tracker__legend\">\n\t\t<span>Contender<\/span>\n\t\t<span>Probability<\/span>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<ol class=\"awards-tracker__list\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-10\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Paul-Thomas-Anderson.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Paul Thomas Anderson<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">One Battle After Another<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 90%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t90%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-2.31% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-10-0\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-10-0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, DGA, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> DGA, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Prior to this year, Paul Thomas Anderson had been nominated for 11 Oscars. He won 0. <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Ryan-Coogler.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Ryan Coogler<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Sinners<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 5.56%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t5.56%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--pos\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Up:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0.3% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"6.92\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-up\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-10-1\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-10-1\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, DGA, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Despite his film &#8220;Black Panther&#8221; being the only MCU film to get a Best Picture nomination, &#8220;Sinners&#8221; marks Ryan Coogler\u2019s first Best Director nod at the Academy Awards.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Chloe-Zhao.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Chlo\u00e9 Zhao<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Hamnet<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 5.56%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t5.56%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--pos\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Up:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0.3% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"6.92\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-up\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-10-2\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-10-2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, DGA, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>After becoming only the second woman to win Best Director at the Oscars, Chlo\u00e9 Zhao could become the first to win twice.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Joachim-Trier.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Joachim Trier<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Sentimental Value<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-10-3\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-10-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Joachim Trier picked up a screenplay nomination for &#8220;The Worst Person in the World,&#8221; but he missed out on Best Director.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Josh-Safdie.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Josh Safdie<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Marty Supreme<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-2.85% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-10-4\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-10-4\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, DGA, BAFTA, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Only seven directors this century got BAFTA, Critics Choice, DGA and Oscar nominations despite missing a nomination at the Golden Globes. One (Roman Polanski for &#8220;The Pianist&#8221;) won.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t<\/ol>\n\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n\t<div class=\"yad-mob-box-ad-b wp-block-the-wrap-ad\"><\/div>\n\t\n\n\t<div class=\"yad-dsk-banner-ad-b wp-block-the-wrap-ad\"><\/div>\n\t\n\n<div class=\"awards-tracker wp-block-the-wrap-awards-tracker\" id=\"best-actress\">\n\t<h2 class=\"awards-tracker__heading\">\n\t\tBest Actress\t<\/h2>\n\t<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"awards-tracker__legend\">\n\t\t<span>Contender<\/span>\n\t\t<span>Probability<\/span>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<ol class=\"awards-tracker__list\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-11\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Jessie-Buckley.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Jessie Buckley<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Hamnet<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 99%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t99%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--pos\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Up:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t10.11% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"6.92\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-up\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-11-0\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-11-0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>&#8220;Hamnet&#8221; marks Jessie Buckley&#8217;s second Oscar nomination this decade following her Best Supporting Actress nomination for &#8220;The Lost Daughter.&#8221;<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Kate-Hudson.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Kate Hudson<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Song Sung Blue<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-11-1\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-11-1\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Kate Hudson had not been nominated for an Oscar in the 25 years since her turn in &#8220;Almost Famous.&#8221;<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Renate-Reinsve.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Renate Reinsve<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Sentimental Value<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-11-2\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-11-2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Renate Reinsve received much acclaim for her performance in her last collaboration with Joachim Trier, &#8220;The Worst Person in the World,&#8221; though she missed out on the Oscar nomination.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Rose-Byrne.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Rose Byrne<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">If I Had Legs I&#039;d Kick You<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-32.33% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-11-3\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-11-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> GG<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Women are exactly half as likely to win Best Actress at the Oscars if they win Best Actress (Musical\/Comedy) at the Golden Globes than they are if they win Best Actress (Drama).<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Emma-Stone.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Emma Stone<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Bugonia<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-11-4\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-11-4\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Emma Stone and Sean Penn both have the opportunity to become the first actors to win three performance Oscars this century.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t<\/ol>\n\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"awards-tracker wp-block-the-wrap-awards-tracker\" id=\"best-actor\">\n\t<h2 class=\"awards-tracker__heading\">\n\t\tBest Actor\t<\/h2>\n\t<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"awards-tracker__legend\">\n\t\t<span>Contender<\/span>\n\t\t<span>Probability<\/span>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<ol class=\"awards-tracker__list\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-12\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Michael-B-Jordan.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Michael B. Jordan<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Sinners<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 11.11%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t11.11%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--pos\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Up:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t7.88% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"6.92\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-up\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-12-0\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-12-0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Michael B. Jordan joins Nicolas Cage (\u201cAdaptation\u201d) and Lee Marvin (\u201cCat Ballou\u201d) on the short list of actors nominated for playing identical twins.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Wagner-Moura.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Wagner Moura<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">The Secret Agent<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-12-1\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-12-1\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> GG<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Wagner Moura finds himself in an interesting position. While roughly 65% of Best Actor (Drama) winners at the Golden Globes win Best Actor at the Academy Awards, no Best Actor winner at the Oscars has ever missed a nomination at the Actor Awards since its inception.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Leonardo-DiCaprio.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Leonardo DiCaprio<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">One Battle After Another<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-12-2\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-12-2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Leonardo DiCaprio surpasses Denzel Washington and Bradley Cooper as the most-nominated male actor this century, with 6 nods since 2000.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Timothee-Chalamet.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Marty Supreme<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-24% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-12-3\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-12-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Following Colman Domingo, Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet becomes the second person this decade nominated for Best Actor two years in a row.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Ethan-Hawke.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Ethan Hawke<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Blue Moon<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-12-4\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-12-4\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Ethan Hawke joins the five-timers club of Oscar nominees. Two of his prior nominations were for acting, while two were for screenwriting. Three of these previous four nominations were for Richard Linklater collaborations.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t<\/ol>\n\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n\t<div class=\"yad-mob-box-ad-c wp-block-the-wrap-ad\"><\/div>\n\t\n\n\t<div class=\"yad-dsk-banner-ad-c wp-block-the-wrap-ad\"><\/div>\n\t\n\n<div class=\"awards-tracker wp-block-the-wrap-awards-tracker\" id=\"best-supporting-actress\">\n\t<h2 class=\"awards-tracker__heading\">\n\t\tBest Supporting Actress\t<\/h2>\n\t<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"awards-tracker__legend\">\n\t\t<span>Contender<\/span>\n\t\t<span>Probability<\/span>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<ol class=\"awards-tracker__list\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-13\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Amy-Madigan.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Amy Madigan<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Weapons<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 50%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t50%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--pos\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Up:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t49% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"6.92\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-up\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-13-0\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-13-0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> SAG, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> SAG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>There are only two other supporting actresses this century who have gotten Oscar nominations, won at Critics Choice, lost at the Golden Globes and missed the BAFTAs entirely: Virginia Madsen (&#8220;Sideways&#8221;) and Amy Ryan (&#8220;Gone Baby Gone&#8221;). Neither won the Oscar.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Wunmi-Mosaku.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Wunmi Mosaku<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Sinners<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 28.57%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t28.57%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-48.7% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-13-1\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-13-1\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> SAG, BAFTA, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> BAFTA<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>In a Supporting Actress race that&#8217;s all over the place, Wunmi Mosaku may bring this year&#8217;s nomination leader a crucial acting win.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Inga-Ibsdotter-Lilleaas.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Sentimental Value<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-13-2\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-13-2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (alongside Renate Reinsve) becomes the first Norwegian performer nominated for acting in Norwegian.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Elle-Fanning.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Elle Fanning<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Sentimental Value<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-13-3\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-13-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Despite being nominated for numerous acting awards since she was a child, Elle Fanning has never gotten an Oscar nomination.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Teyana-Taylor.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Teyana Taylor<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">One Battle After Another<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-24% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-13-4\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-13-4\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> GG<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Teyana Taylor could join a short list of musicians who win acting awards at the Oscars.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t<\/ol>\n\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"awards-tracker wp-block-the-wrap-awards-tracker\" id=\"best-supporting-actor\">\n\t<h2 class=\"awards-tracker__heading\">\n\t\tBest Supporting Actor\t<\/h2>\n\t<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"awards-tracker__legend\">\n\t\t<span>Contender<\/span>\n\t\t<span>Probability<\/span>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<ol class=\"awards-tracker__list\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-14\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Sean-Penn.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Sean Penn<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">One Battle After Another<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 92.3%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t92.3%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--pos\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Up:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t72.3% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"6.92\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-up\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-14-0\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-14-0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> SAG, BAFTA<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Sean Penn&#8217;s season is a unique one. He won at the Actor Awards and BAFTAs, but lost at the Golden Globes and Critics Choice. However, 92% of nominees who have the wins he has went on to get the Oscar<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Stellan-Skarsgard.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Stellan Skarsg\u00e5rd<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Sentimental Value<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 3.85%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t3.85%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-14-1\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-14-1\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> GG<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Stellan Skarsg\u00e5rd finds himself in a history-making position, as only two men this century have won Best Supporting Actor without getting an Actor Awards nomination: Benicio del Toro (\u201cTraffic\u201d) and Christoph Waltz (\u201cDjango Unchained\u201d). Like Skarsg\u00e5rd, both won the Golden Globe. Unlike Skarsg\u00e5rd, neither was nominated for Critics Choice. This puts Skarsg\u00e5rd in a small group of men (such as Sylvester Stallone in \u201cCreed\u201d) who saw varied nominations and big wins pre-Oscars but eventually missed out on the final prize.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Delroy-Lindo.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Delroy Lindo<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Sinners<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-14-2\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-14-2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Delroy Lindo became the surprise of the morning when he got the Oscar nomination despite missing out at the Actor Awards, Golden Globes and Critics Choice.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Benicio-del-Toro.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Benicio del Toro<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">One Battle After Another<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-14-3\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-14-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>2026 marks 25 years since Benicio del Toro won his acting Oscar for 2001&#8217;s &#8220;Traffic.&#8221;<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Awards-Tracker-Jacob-Elordi.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Jacob Elordi<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Frankenstein<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-32.33% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-14-4\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-14-4\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, SAG, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Jacob Elordi becomes the first actor to be nominated for playing the iconic role of Frankenstein&#8217;s Creature \u2014\u00a0a part taken on by the likes of Christopher Lee and Robert De Niro.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t<\/ol>\n\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n\t<div class=\"yad-mob-box-ad-d wp-block-the-wrap-ad\"><\/div>\n\t\n\n\t<div class=\"yad-dsk-banner-ad-d wp-block-the-wrap-ad\"><\/div>\n\t\n\n<div class=\"awards-tracker wp-block-the-wrap-awards-tracker\" id=\"best-original-screenplay\">\n\t<h2 class=\"awards-tracker__heading\">\n\t\tBest Screenplay (Original)\t<\/h2>\n\t<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"awards-tracker__legend\">\n\t\t<span>Contender<\/span>\n\t\t<span>Probability<\/span>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<ol class=\"awards-tracker__list\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-15\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Sinners.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Sinners<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Ryan Coogler<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 87.5%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t87.5%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--pos\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Up:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t18.27% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"6.92\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-up\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-15-0\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-15-0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, BAFTA, WGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> BAFTA, WGA, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Ryan Coogler was nominated for two Oscars before &#8220;Sinners&#8221;: for producing &#8220;Judas and the Black Messiah,&#8221; and for co-writing the song &#8220;Lift Me Up&#8221; from &#8220;Black Panther: Wakanda Forever.&#8221;<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Sentimental-Value.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Sentimental Value<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-15-1\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-15-1\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, BAFTA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Eskil Vogt and Joachim Trier were previously nominated for this category with &#8220;The Worst Person in the World,&#8221; the final film in their Oslo Trilogy.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Marty-Supreme.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Marty Supreme<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Josh Safdie, Ronald Bronstein<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-4.26% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-15-2\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-15-2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, BAFTA, WGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>This marks Josh Safdie&#8217;s first Oscar nomination for screenwriting. Safdie is nominated alongside co-writer Ronald Bronstein \u2014 husband of \u201cIf I Had Legs I\u2019d Kick You\u201d writer\/director Mary Bronstein.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/It-Was-Just-An-Accident.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">It Was Just An Accident<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Jafar Panahi<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-15-3\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-15-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, GG<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Asghar Farhadi (&#8220;A Separation&#8221;) was the only Iranian screenwriter with an Original Screenplay nomination prior to Jafar Panahi.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Blue-Moon.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Blue Moon<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Robert Kaplow<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-15-4\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-15-4\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>While &#8220;Blue Moon&#8221; is based on real people, it is a fictional imagining of a night in songwriter Lorenz Hart&#8217;s life.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t<\/ol>\n\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"awards-tracker wp-block-the-wrap-awards-tracker\" id=\"best-adapted-screenplay\">\n\t<h2 class=\"awards-tracker__heading\">\n\t\tBest Screenplay (Adapted)\t<\/h2>\n\t<div aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"awards-tracker__legend\">\n\t\t<span>Contender<\/span>\n\t\t<span>Probability<\/span>\n\t<\/div>\n\t<ol class=\"awards-tracker__list\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-16\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-One-Battle-After-Another.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">One Battle After Another<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Paul Thomas Anderson<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 80%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t80%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-16-0\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-16-0\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, BAFTA, WGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Wins:<\/strong> BAFTA, WGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Paul Thomas Anderson&#8217;s 11 pre-2026 Oscar nominations include five for his screenplays. He has yet to win.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Bugonia.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Bugonia<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Will Tracy<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 11.11%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t11.11%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--pos\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Up:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t2.78% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"6.92\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-up\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-16-1\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-16-1\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, BAFTA, WGA, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>&#8220;Bugonia&#8221; is only the second film written Will Tracy, former editor-in-chief of &#8220;The Onion.&#8221; This marks his first Oscar nod.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Train-Dreams.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Train Dreams<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-16-2\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-16-2\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, WGA, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Greg Kwedar and Clint Bentley were nominated for Adapted Screenplay last year alongside Clarence Maclin and John &#8220;Divine G&#8221; Whitfield for writing &#8220;Sing Sing.&#8221;<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Hamnet.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Hamnet<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Chlo\u00e9 Zhao, Maggie O&#039;Farrell<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta awards-tracker__delta--neg\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Down:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t-35.36% <svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"10\" height=\"7.69\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-rating-down\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-16-3\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-16-3\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, BAFTA, WGA, GG, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Chlo\u00e9 Zhao was previously nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay for her Best Picture winner &#8220;Nomadland.&#8221; This time, she writes alongside Maggie O&#8217;Farrell, who wrote the novel &#8220;Hamnet.&#8221;<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"awards-tracker__item\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__contender\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"awards-tracker__photo\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Awards-Tracker-Frankenstein-1.jpg?resize=46%2C46&#038;quality=89&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__name\">Frankenstein<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__film\">Guillermo del Toro<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__probability\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-bar\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage-fill\" style=\"width: 1%;\"><\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__percentage\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Probability:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t1%\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"awards-tracker__delta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">No change:<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t0% <span aria-hidden=\"true\">&#8211;<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<button type=\"button\" class=\"awards-tracker__notes-toggle\" aria-expanded=\"false\" aria-controls=\"awards-tracker-list-16-4\" data-component=\"awards-tracker-notes-toggle\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--more\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-plus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Show notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"toggle-text toggle-text--less\" style=\"display: none;\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"12\" height=\"3\"><use href=\"#am-symbol-minus\"><\/use><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hide notes<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"awards-tracker__notes awards-tracker__notes--hidden\" id=\"awards-tracker-list-16-4\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'><strong>Nominations:<\/strong> Oscars, WGA, Critics Choice<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='note'>Only three films this century have won Best Screenplay (Adapted) at the Oscars without a BAFTA nomination to match: &#8220;The Cider House Rules,&#8221; &#8220;Moonlight&#8221; and &#8220;Women Talking.&#8221; Unlike &#8220;Frankenstein,&#8221; all three scored nominations at the Golden Globes.<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t<\/ol>\n\n\t<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:65px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"jump-here\">Methodology <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Awards Tracker draws from 25 years of historical data across eight major awards shows: SAG, DGA, BAFTA, WGA, PGA, Golden Globes, Critics Choice, and the Oscars. For each year since 2000, we compiled all nominees and winners in eight top Academy Award categories: Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress, Best Original Screenplay, and Best Adapted Screenplay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Using this comprehensive dataset, we calculated the percentage likelihood that a nomination or win at a precursor ceremony translates to an Oscar nomination or win. These probabilities update in real time throughout awards season as new nominations and winners are announced, giving users an up-to-date snapshot of each contender\u2019s statistical path to the Oscars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our goal is to provide a data-backed, transparent view into the momentum and predictive power of precursor awards as the season unfolds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:65px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-section-heading\">\n\t\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-awards-coverage\">Awards Coverage<\/h2>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-wp-curate-query\"><ul role=\"list\" class=\"wp-block-post-template--grid-2-col wp-block-post-template--columns wp-block-post-template is-layout-flow wp-block-post-template-is-layout-flow\"><li class=\"wp-block-post post-7302600 profile type-profile status-publish has-post-thumbnail hentry\">\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-wp-curate-post\"><div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__image\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/column\/steve-pond\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"276\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Steve-Pond.png?fit=276%2C300&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Steve Pond\" data-portal-copyright=\"TheWrap\" data-has-syndication-rights=\"1\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__details\">\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__name\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/column\/steve-pond\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tSteve Pond\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__title\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/creative-content\/movies\/cannes-critics-week-lineup-2026\/\">\n\t\t\t\tCannes Critics Week Reveals International Lineup, No U.S. Films\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/li><li class=\"wp-block-post post-7303166 profile type-profile status-publish has-post-thumbnail hentry\">\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-wp-curate-post\"><div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__image\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?fit=300%2C300&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Joe McGovern\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?w=2168&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 2168w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?resize=300%2C300&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?resize=1024%2C1024&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?resize=150%2C150&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?resize=768%2C768&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?resize=1536%2C1536&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?resize=2048%2C2048&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?resize=152%2C152&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 152w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?resize=304%2C304&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 304w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?resize=990%2C990&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 990w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/Joe-McGovern.jpg?resize=1200%2C1200&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" data-portal-copyright=\"TheWrap\" data-has-syndication-rights=\"1\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__details\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__column-name\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__name\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tJoe McGovern\t\t\t\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__title\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/author\/joemcgovern\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/li><li class=\"wp-block-post post-7780473 profile type-profile status-publish has-post-thumbnail hentry\">\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-wp-curate-post\"><div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__image\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Casey-USC-Annenberg-Fellow-Fellowship.png?fit=300%2C169&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Courtesy of Casey Loving\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Casey-USC-Annenberg-Fellow-Fellowship.png?w=1200&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Casey-USC-Annenberg-Fellow-Fellowship.png?resize=300%2C169&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Casey-USC-Annenberg-Fellow-Fellowship.png?resize=1024%2C576&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 1024w, 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https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Casey-USC-Annenberg-Fellow-Fellowship.png?resize=788%2C444&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 788w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Casey-USC-Annenberg-Fellow-Fellowship.png?resize=778%2C438&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 778w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Casey-USC-Annenberg-Fellow-Fellowship.png?resize=976%2C549&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 976w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/Casey-USC-Annenberg-Fellow-Fellowship.png?resize=990%2C557&amp;quality=80&amp;ssl=1 990w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" data-portal-copyright=\"TheWrap\" data-has-syndication-rights=\"1\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__details\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__column-name\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 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https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/MissyHeadshotBW.jpeg?resize=300%2C298&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/MissyHeadshotBW.jpeg?resize=1024%2C1018&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/MissyHeadshotBW.jpeg?resize=150%2C150&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/MissyHeadshotBW.jpeg?resize=768%2C764&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/MissyHeadshotBW.jpeg?resize=152%2C152&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 152w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/MissyHeadshotBW.jpeg?resize=990%2C985&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 990w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/MissyHeadshotBW.jpeg?resize=1200%2C1193&amp;quality=89&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" data-portal-copyright=\"TheWrap\" data-has-syndication-rights=\"1\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__details\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__column-name\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__name\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tMissy Schwartz\t\t\t\t\t<\/h3>\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-the-wrap-columnist__title\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/author\/missy-schwartzthewrap-com\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TheWrap\u2019s Awards Tracker uses a proprietary algorithm built on 25 years of awards history to forecast Academy Awards outcomes across eight major categories. Updated in real time after Oscar nominations on Jan. 22, it maps how early nominations and wins at shows like the Golden Globes, DGA, and BAFTA impact their chances of Academy Award [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9981,"featured_media":7911931,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"page-no-sidebar-with-ads","meta":{"byline":{"profiles":[{"type":"byline_id","atts":{"term_id":504345,"post_id":7302576}}]},"_links_to":"","_links_to_type":0,"wp_curate_deduplication":false,"wp_curate_unique_pinned_posts":false,"footnotes":""},"byline":[504345],"class_list":["post-7881558","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/7881558","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9981"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7881558"}],"version-history":[{"count":33,"href":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/7881558\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7984333,"href":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/7881558\/revisions\/7984333"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7911931"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7881558"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"byline","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.thewrap.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/byline?post=7881558"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}